図2 1999年以降のデータを追加したシミュレーションの結果 MovAvg Crossover NK225D.TXT-Daily 01/04/1990 - 10/03/2000 Performance Summary: All Trades Total net profit $14240040.00 Open position P/L $ 218810.00 Gross profit $60987352.00 Gross loss $-46747312.00 Total # of trades 146 Percent profitable 35% Number winning trades 51 Number losing trades 95 Largest winning trade $8899000.00 Largest losing trade $-2560000.00 Average winning trade $1195830.43 Average losing trade $-492076.97 Ratio avg win/avg loss 2.43 Avg trade(win & loss) $ 97534.52 Max consec. winners 4 Max consec. losers 7 Avg # bars in winners 30 Avg # bars in losers 10 Max intraday drawdown $-8294420.00 Profit factor 1.30 Max # contracts held 1 Account size required $8294420.00 Return on account 172% Performance Summary: Long Trades Total net profit $-1083530.00 Open position P/L $ 0.00 Gross profit $23094570.00 Gross loss $-24178100.00 Total # of trades 73 Percent profitable 32% Number winning trades 23 Number losing trades 50 Largest winning trade $2794840.00 Largest losing trade $-2560000.00 Average winning trade $1004111.74 Average losing trade $-483562.00 Ratio avg win/avg loss 2.08 Avg trade(win & loss) $ -14842.88 Max consec. winners 3 Max consec. losers 8 Avg # bars in winners 29 Avg # bars in losers 11 Max intraday drawdown $-5167410.00 Profit factor 0.96 Max # contracts held 1 Account size required $5167410.00 Return on account -21% Performance Summary: Short Trades Total net profit $15323570.00 Open position P/L $ 218810.00 Gross profit $37892780.00 Gross loss $-22569210.00 Total # of trades 73 Percent profitable 38% Number winning trades 28 Number losing trades 45 Largest winning trade $8899000.00 Largest losing trade $-1753000.00 Average winning trade $1353313.57 Average losing trade $-501538.00 Ratio avg win/avg loss 2.70 Avg trade(win & loss) $ 209911.92 Max consec. winners 5 Max consec. losers 8 Avg # bars in winners 32 Avg # bars in losers 10 Max intraday drawdown $-6059200.00 Profit factor 1.68 Max # contracts held 1 Account size required $6059200.00 Return on account 253%